By 2027, Artificial Intelligence may reach the level of a "country of geniuses." What does that mean?
The head of the company that owns the popular chatbot Claude predicts what to expect from artificial intelligence in the next two years.
Artificial intelligence (AI) is capable of reaching the level of a "country of geniuses" as early as 2026-2027, warns American entrepreneur Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, whose chatbot Claude directly competes with the popular ChatGPT from Open AI.
The "country of geniuses" level, which the Anthropic CEO talks about, means that artificial intelligence will be able to possess collective intellectual potential comparable to the capabilities of a very talented and intelligent group of people at the level of an entire country. This is not just AI's individual abilities for analysis, calculations, or automation of human life processes, but also the ability to make complex decisions and develop new ideas on a scale previously only achievable by a qualified human community.
In other words, such AI will have a much wider range of capabilities: from inventing new technologies to developing strategies in various fields, just as a highly developed intellectual elite of a single country would.
This means that AI can become a self-sufficient force and lead to fundamental changes in the economy, politics, and other spheres, which poses serious risks to existing control systems, Amodei notes.
The entrepreneur named three critical tasks facing humanity in the context of AI development: ensuring leadership in democratic states, better managing security risks, and preparing for economic shifts that super-intelligent neural networks can provoke (for example, the risk of total unemployment worldwide).
Against this backdrop, Amodei sharply criticized the recent AI summit in Paris, calling it a "lost opportunity." At the summit, EU countries insisted on strict AI control mechanisms, while representatives from the US and UK refused to sign a common plan for regulating the industry, considering European initiatives "massive" and "stifling" for technology development.
According to Amodei, the abandonment of more effective control measures over AI systems in favor of rapid profit growth from their operation will lead to humanity being unable to control the industry at all, while authoritarian countries will acquire even more advanced artificial intelligence systems and use them to dominate the world.
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